Watchlist for November 4, 2004

It wasn’t pretty yesterday but the indices did manage to hold on to the bulk of their early gains and close higher for the day. The intraday action created a lot of bearish candlestick patterns (shooting stars & hanging men) for the second day in a row. Add overbought stochastic and many stocks being at or above their upper Bollinger Bands and it’s clear that this move is getting tired. I’m not seeing a whole lot of screaming shorts though. Most of the stocks I’ve been stalking are very strong and I’m just waiting for a dip/consolidation to allow me to get long.

Currently holding:

Long – WBSN

Short – AIG

Looking for swing trade entries in:

Longs – AIRT, RSAS

Shorts – BDY, BOL, GM, MTG, TIF, VECO

Potential day trades:

(From Briefing.com)

08:25 Election Movers

Gapping Down

Down on disappointing earnings and/or guidance: DITC -27% (also First Albany downgrade), DIGE -25% (also Wells Fargo downgrade), ADRX -24% (also JP Morgan downgrade), SYNC -19%, ACLS -17%, BOBJ -17% (also Pac Growth downgrade), HOTT -9.3% (also weak Oct comps), MGIC -8.5%, AIRN -8.4% (also Roth and Harris, Nesbitt downgrades), MAMA -7.5%, BVF -6.8%, GYMB -4.7% (also weak Oct comps), NTES -4.5%, QCOM -3.7%, WLDA -2.8%, CEPH -2.8%Other News: ASYT -19% (postpones reporting Q2 results; Deutsche and Pru downgrades), IPXL -12% (delays earnings report; BofA downgrade), JOSB -10.5% (weak same store sales), AUDC -8.1% (announces convertible offering), LEN -5.5% (sees delays in home closings), BIIB -3% (Goldman downgrade), KLAC -2% (BofA downgrade), AMAT -1.8% (BofA downgrade).

Gapping Up

Up on strong earnings/guidance: ECST +20.6%, TALK +14%, ELOS +9%, HANS +6.5%, TEVA +3.2%….. Other News: PENN +16.1% (to acquire AGY+12%), GIVN +3.2%, TASR +2.3% (Houston City Council approves purchase), MOND +2.3% (co and STZ sign definitive merger agreement), STEM +1.9% (bounce after 24% drop yesterday on 38 mln shares), RIMM +1.3% (Telefonica Moviles introduces BlackBerry Connect in Spain), WTSLA +3.8% (announces financing negotiations).

Disclaimer & How I use this list

Comments

  1. Posted by LB on November 4, 2004 at 11:25 am

    Mike,

    I have enjoyed your commentary over the past month or so that I have been reading your blog. The markets the past few weeks (maybe months) have been odd at best. That is why I believe technical analysts are better prepared for trading/investing than fundamental analysts.

    Anyway, the Nasdaq has broken above it’s persisting downtrend, but not on a lot of volume. This was probably just pure manipulation these past few weeks by a number of players. It’s safe to say, I don’t buy the bullish arguments.

    Keep up the good work!

    Best Regards,
    LB
    http://www.traderwizard.com/blog/
    http://www.securitytraders.com

  2. Posted by Michael on November 4, 2004 at 11:44 am

    Thanks Levi.