June 23, 2006 Stock Market Recap

“Unchanged” says it all about Friday’s action. The indices were little changed on lighter volume. My guess is that this type of action will continue until the Fed decision on Thursday. But who knows, maybe some gunslingers will try to place some big bets ahead of the decision. I’m looking forward to the decision being a thing of the past so we can hopefully get out of this trading range.

My Nasdaq death cross watch continues — looks like it will happen tomorrow. (Just to be clear, as I’ve stated in the past, I take no action based on death or golden crosses because they’re lagging signals. I just like to point them out.)

Trend Table

No changes today.

Trend Nasdaq S&P 500 Russell 2000
Primary Down LA LA
Intermediate Down Down Down
Short-term Up Up Up

(+) Indicates an upward reclassification today
(-) Indicates a downward reclassification today
LA Indicates a Lateral trend

Comments

  1. Posted by Anonymous on June 25, 2006 at 9:42 pm

    Mike:

    Like your stuff.

    Reading tonight’s comments about the S&P as a coiled spring. Is that a coiled spring going up? I’m new to this, but my impression was that formation would be a bear flag. Why up, in your opinion?

    S

  2. Posted by Michael on June 25, 2006 at 10:45 pm

    If anything it looks like the path of least resistance is down. Barring external events, like the Fed meeting, I’d be expecting the lower blue trendline to get hit.