August 4, 2006 Stock Market Recap

The last two sessions have certainly been interesting. Buyers rushed in to buy the gap down on Thursday and the exact opposite happened on Friday. Net result was a lot of noise and drama (and no doubt pain for some) just to end up basically where we started. I have to believe that the action over the last two days is a result of people jockeying for position ahead of Tuesday’s interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve. Perhaps we’ll finally be free of this bull/bear tug of war by mid-week. (Speaking of the Fed meeting, I’m taking off until after the meeting, so regular posting will resume Wednesday.)

The Nasdaq had a real short trip above 2,100. As I suspected in the last recap, it tagged its 50-day moving average. That touch of the 50 DMa brorught out the sellers who pushed all the way back into negative territory. The Nasdaq had over a 2% swing (50 points) from high to low on Friday — volatile enough for ya?

1280 continues to act like a magnet for the S&P 500. Since the jobs report couldn’t get us out of the trading range perhaps the Fed can do the trick…

Trend Table

No changes today.

Trend Nasdaq S&P 500 Russell 2000
Primary Down Lat Lat
Intermediate Down Up Lat
Short-term Up Up Up

(+) Indicates an upward reclassification today
(-) Indicates a downward reclassification today
Lat Indicates a Lateral trend