January 16, 2008 Stock Market Recap

There are clearly a lot of people watching the August lows on the S&P and Nasdaq. Those indices see-sawed across those levels today, ending just above their August support levels. I believe that those August lows came on all-time high volume and today got real close to matching those volume levels. In August the indices plunged, reversed hard and closed near the highs of the day and in positive territory. That created candlesticks with “bottoming tails”. Today the indices closed near their opening levels and printed upper wicks similar in length to their lower wicks. Those candles are more indicative of a stalemate than a clear reversal. My view hasn’t really changed from all that I wrote last night.

Trend Table

No changes

Trend Nasdaq S&P 500 Russell 2000
Primary Down Down Down
Intermediate Down Down Down
Short-term Down Down Down

(+) Indicates an upward reclassification today
(-) Indicates a downward reclassification today
Lat Indicates a Lateral trend

*** I’m simply using the indices’ relations to their 200, 50 and 10-day moving averages to tell me the long, intermediate and short-term trends, respectively.

Comments

  1. Posted by Anonymous on January 17, 2008 at 5:51 am

    The stock market sucks

  2. Posted by Michael on January 17, 2008 at 9:21 am

    and so it begins. I need to start tracking my “stock market sucks” indicator

  3. Posted by Guerrilla Hack on January 17, 2008 at 9:53 am

    Mike,

    When you have extra time, would you please let us know if your trading setup has changed at all now that you’re using TOS (e.g. E-Signal, TI, etc.)?

    Have a nice couple of days off,
    GH

  4. Posted by Michael on January 17, 2008 at 9:58 am

    I will. I’ve been meaning to re-do that post for a while now. I switched from eSignal to QuoteTracker almost a year ago.

  5. Posted by Keith Shepard on January 17, 2008 at 3:50 pm

    It’s interesting to watch the comments on Twitter. Tracking words like “crash”, “1929″, “market”, “stocks”, “dow”, etc…the Twitter crowd is a buzz as to how a tanking market will affect “web 2.0″ VC and their jobs (loads of tech workers on Twitter).

    Twitter is a gold mine of pop psychology from people not directly in the market. :)

    ~ Keith