August 19, 2008 Stock Market Recap

Despite the light volume selloff today the bears were able to do some technical damage to the S&P 500 by breaking its July uptrend. It’s looking like a retest of the July low could be in the cards if the bulls can’t defend support around 1250.

The Nasdaq looks a little better since it’s still above its July trendline and its 50-day moving average.

Trend Table

The “downs” are starting to dominate the trend table again…

Trend Nasdaq S&P 500 Russell 2000
Long-Term Down(-) Down Up
Intermediate Up Down(-) Up
Short-term Down(-) Down Down(-)

(+) Indicates an upward reclassification today
(-) Indicates a downward reclassification today
Lat Indicates a Lateral trend

*** I’m simply using the indices’ relations to their 200, 50 and 10-day moving averages to tell me the long, intermediate and short-term trends, respectively.

Comments

  1. Posted by Odd Lot on August 22, 2008 at 2:51 pm

    Hey Mike,
    I’ve been watching your moving average data for a few weeks now and the market volatility is really scary. I’m a buy-and-hold investor so I’ve been waiting patiently for the market to turn but it has been a wild ride. Looks like there are quite a few potential bumps in the road ahead as well. Good luck with your trading and great post, love the market recaps, they contain a lot of valuable info.
    Cheers,
    Odd Lot