December 1, 2008 Stock Market Recap

This was certainly one of the ugliest days I’ve ever seen and that’s confirmed by the list of worst one-day percentage declines. This was the second worst day in 20 years on both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq — second only to days just a few weeks ago. I don’t have stats on the Russell 2000 but today’s 12% drop *has* to be one of its worst days ever. If the Dow had dropped that much in a day the NYSE’s circuit breakers would have gone off.

It’s not a stretch to assume the indices will at least fill the gaps left from last Monday’s gap up open. My guess is that we go beyond that and will probably retest the November lows. There’s a ton of economic data due out this week, culminating with November Nonfarm Payrolls on Friday. It should be quite a week.

It should come as no surprise that financial stocks were one of the worst groups today. They were down over 17% on the day and many individual financial stocks were down over 20%.

There was also notable weakness in REITs, which were down over 19% as a group. Even gold was down 12%. There was truly nowhere for the bulls to hide today.

Trend Table

Everything’s down once again

Trend Nasdaq S&P 500 Russell 2000
Long-Term Down Down Down
Intermediate Down Down Down
Short-term Down(-) Down(-) Down(-)

(+) Indicates an upward reclassification today
(-) Indicates a downward reclassification today
Lat Indicates a Lateral trend

*** I’m simply using the indices’ relations to their 200, 50 and 10-day moving averages to tell me the long, intermediate and short-term trends, respectively.

Comments

  1. Posted by Anthony J. Alfidi on December 1, 2008 at 9:30 pm

    Everything will keep going down until equities fully value the ongoing destruction of corporate earnings. Rallies for the forseeable future will likely prove to be bear traps.

  2. Posted by Dr. Duru on December 1, 2008 at 9:31 pm

    Man, oh, man…that sure was ugly. I swear I thought today would qualify as a “crash” day, but then you reminded me that we had slightly worse just a little while ago. Too many of “you” technical traders watching the same technical levels.

  3. Posted by 381e on December 1, 2008 at 10:49 pm

    When the ivory tower economic academics declare a recession, a bottom is usually in place. The S&P has touched the 2002/2003 lows and the most recent action in the S&P is forming a bullish pattern. Should 800 hold on the S&P I will be going long.

  4. Posted by anothercountry on December 2, 2008 at 8:42 am

    It sure was a sweet day to be short. Not ugly but beautiful!

  5. Posted by adam b barkeloo on December 2, 2008 at 8:48 am

    Mike,

    are you using ema’s or sma’s for your short/intermediate/long term trend lines?

  6. Posted by Noah on December 2, 2008 at 4:14 pm

    It was a perfect day for my daytrading style, my only issue is one in which I don’t stay in a position long enough, and leave to much on the table instead of capitalizing. The charts for longer term were a classic descending triangle. The bottom of the triangle is practically a straight line, this shows resistence to further decline while being formed.The top of the triangle is a line slanting downward from left to right. The downslope is indicative of an ever increasing supply of stock which can be absorbed only at steadily decreasing prices. At the apex, the breakout usually results in a sharp down move.